6th Lowest Poverty Rate and 7th Highest Median Income, But Smallest Progress
CBIA VP and economist, Goia: Slow growth numbers should be expected in Connecticut.
UCONN Economics Professor Cartensen: The rich are getting richer, other Nutmeggers stuck in neutral.
Washington – The U.S. Census Bureau’s good news that median income rose significantly in the United States last year wasn’t as cheerful for Connecticut.
The nation had a robust increase of 5.2 percent in household median income.The census said no state had a decrease in growth and 39 had statistically significant increases in 2015 over 2014. Of those states with significant increases, Connecticut had the smallest rate of household median income growth, just 1.8 percent. And not everybody benefited from Connecticut’s modest income growth.
“While Connecticut still boasts the sixth lowest poverty rates in the United States, and only five states and Washington, D.C. have higher median household incomes, little progress was made in returning to pre-recession levels: statewide poverty remained stuck, and incomes inched upwards slower than most of the country,” said an analysis by Connecticut Voices for Children of the census bureau’s latest American Community Survey results.
The poverty rate declined in Fairfield, Hartford, Litchfield, Middlesex and New London counties, but there was no change in Tolland County and increases in New Haven and Windham counties, according to an earlier analysis by Trend CT.
The median income in Connecticut in 2015 was up by $1,211 from the year before to $71,346, one of the highest in the nation. Maryland led the nation with a median income of $75,847.
But median income in Connecticut varied widely depending on where you lived, from a high of $86,414 in Fairfield County to a low of $62,905 in Windham County.
And Litchfield County experienced a decrease in median income, falling from $73,816 in 2014 to $70,667 in 2015.
The census also said there were changes in the proportion of Connecticut families in each income bracket.
There was no change in the percentage of Connecticut families earning $10,000 or less, or those earning $15,000 to $24,999. There was a small increase in the number of families earning between $10,000 and $14,999.
Meanwhile, there was little growth – and even a reduction of growth – in several middle-income brackets.
The percentage of households earning $25,000 to $34,999 fell from 6.3 percent to 5.7 percent. Those earning $35,000 to $49,999 stayed flat at 9.4 percent, and those making $50,000 to $74,999 slipped from 15.3 percent to 15.1 percent of Connecticut households.
There was also a reduction in the number of households earning $75,000 to $99,999 – from 15.5 percent to 14.5 percent.
But there was growth in all higher brackets.
An Income Gap
University of Connecticut economist Fred Carstensen said Connecticut is still struggling with income inequality.
“Virtually all of the economic growth has been captured by the higher income brackets,” he said. “Connecticut is therefore becoming more divided by income even as overall there is modest improvement.”
The census report is a snapshot of Connecticut’s demographics at one point in time. Carstensen said he is concerned there is a further “hollowing out” of Connecticut’s middle class.
The census bureau said Connecticut has had a slight improvement in its “Gini index,” a standard economic measure of income inequality. But the state is still one of five, the others being California, Florida, Louisiana and New York, that had an index higher than the national average.
Connecticut Voices for Children said only whites experienced meaningful median household income growth, leaving persistent “minority gaps.”
In 2015, white households earned $36,906 more than blacks and $38,953 more than Latinos.
The census bureau also said 94 percent of Connecticut’s residents in 2015 had health insurance, an improvement over the year.
“As was the case particularly for states across the nation that expanded Medicaid, the rate of Connecticut’s uninsured fell, from 7 percent to 6 percent. The drop was small compared to other states, in part because Connecticut already boasted one of the lowest uninsured rates in the nation,” according to Connecticut Voices for Children.
Slow Job Creation
Peter Gioia, vice president and economist for the Connecticut Business and Industry Association, said he’s not surprised Connecticut showed the weakest growth in median income.
“In order to have strong income growth you need to have serious competition for jobs across all sectors. We don’t have that,” he said.
Gioia said the Connecticut Department of Labor has estimated that the state has only recovered 83 percent of the jobs it lost in the recession, while other states have recovered the jobs they lost and created new ones as well. Massachusetts, Gioia said, has recovered 270 percent of the jobs it lost in the recession.
Gioia said Connecticut’s moderate job growth has left the state “much better than it was a few years ago. But if you look at other states, it doesn’t look so hot,” he said.
He said the prospect of tax increases continues to worry businesses and has created an uncertain business climate.
Carstensen also cited Connecticut’s poor job growth as a reason for the state’s slow income growth, saying state employment is still about 12,000 jobs below where it was in March 2008.
Carstensen said Connecticut’s economic output is still below the state’s previous peak in the fourth quarter of 2007, right before the nation sank into recession.
He said employment in the state began to recover in 2010, but real economic growth continued to shrink until 2012 and the state’s recovery began nearly three years after the nation turned the corner economically.
“The census report basically confirms what we already knew,” he said. Connecticut is enjoying a very modest growth in incomes, but slow job creation since the recession. “There is nothing in this that is encouraging,” he said. “The best you can say for it is that Connecticut is not slipping backwards.”